5 Jul · 12:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1321
FormLLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Suchecki
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1375
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Suchecki
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)