5 Jul · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1328
FormWLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Iwasyszyn
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1385
FormLLWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)