5 Jul · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1564
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Jadach
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1477
FormLWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)