5 Jul · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1508
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Warpas
MZ
🇵🇱Mateusz Zagajewski
ELO 1436
FormLLWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 46% · 2.19· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H2-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)