5 Jul · 20:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1734
FormWLWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Oracz
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1556
FormLWWWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 76% · 1.31· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+178
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+178)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)