5 Jul · 20:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1755
FormWWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Rutkowski
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1571
FormWLLWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)