6 Jul · 05:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1238
FormWWLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1483
FormLWLWL
25%
75%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 92% (13)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+245
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+245)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)