5 Jul · 19:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1584
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krutak
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1556
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Krutak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+28
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.