5 Jul · 19:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1755
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Rutkowski
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1643
FormWWWWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Rutkowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H73-63
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-63)