5 Jul · 19:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1344
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1397
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+53
H2H30-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-26)