5 Jul · 19:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1572
FormWLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Jadach
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1451
FormWWLWL
63%
37%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H12-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-6)