5 Jul · 18:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MW
🇵🇱Mateusz Woskowicz
ELO 1491
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Woskowicz
ID
🇵🇱Igor Dabrowski
ELO 1489
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Woskowicz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.18· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.