5 Jul · 18:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1461
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Baron
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1417
FormWLWLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Baron
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)