5 Jul · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1345
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Rudomina
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1397
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+52
H2H26-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-22)