5 Jul · 20:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1525
FormWLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Adamus
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1435
FormWWWWL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H12-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-11)