5 Jul · 22:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1361
FormLLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1468
FormWLWLL
38%
62%
Fair odds · Baron
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H5-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-2)