5 Jul · 21:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1537
FormLLWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1624
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H13-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)