5 Jul · 21:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1334
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Gluszek
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1330
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Gluszek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H18-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.