5 Jul · 21:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1464
FormLWLLL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1605
FormWLLLL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+141
H2H88-69
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (88-69)