5 Jul · 22:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1495
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Schaniel
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1474
FormWLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 43% · 2.30· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H64-81
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.