5 Jul · 23:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1532
FormLLLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Oracz
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1474
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H5-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)