5 Jul · 23:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KN
🇵🇱Krzysztof Niemiec
ELO 1520
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Niemiec
MW
🇵🇱Mateusz Woskowicz
ELO 1499
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.