6 Jul · 01:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1492
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1609
FormLLWWL
37%
63%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H67-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (67-27)