6 Jul · 05:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1414
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Rudomina
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1400
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Rudomina
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H37-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.