6 Jul · 06:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1252
FormWWLLL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Janus
SJ
🇵🇱Slawomir Janus
ELO 1556
FormLWWWL
21%
79%
Fair odds · Janus
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~74 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+304
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+304)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)