6 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1409
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1430
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H3-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.