6 Jul · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1429
FormWLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Machelski
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1272
FormWLWWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Machelski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+157
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+157)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)