6 Jul · 07:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1176
FormLLWLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1442
FormLWWLL
24%
76%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+266
H2H33-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+266)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-14)