6 Jul · 08:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SJ
🇵🇱Slawomir Janus
ELO 1566
FormWWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1659
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)