6 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1167
FormLLLLW
84%Win chancemodel fair 1.19Janus
SJ
🇵🇱Slawomir Janus
ELO 1548
FormLLWWL
16%
84%
Fair odds · Janus
Model 84% · 1.19vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 72%Total ~70 pts
0-3
42%
1-3
30%
2-3
13%
3-2
7%
3-1
5%
Elo Gap+381
H2H32-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+381)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-7)