6 Jul · 11:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MP
🇵🇱Milosz Piecowski
ELO 1387
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Sobel
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1480
FormWLWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H22-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-8)