6 Jul · 12:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1399
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jurowicz
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1399
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jurowicz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H16-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.