6 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1389
FormLWWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1649
FormWWWWL
24%
76%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+260
H2H22-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+260)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-10)