6 Jul · 13:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1570
FormLWWWL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Wichowski
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1358
FormLLWWL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+212
H2H15-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-3)