6 Jul · 14:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1363
FormWLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Sobel
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1496
FormWWWLW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H16-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-10)