7 Jul · 03:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1592
FormLWWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Nocun
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1406
FormWLWWL
69%
31%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~75 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+186
H2H38-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-14)