6 Jul · 23:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1504
FormWWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Pyrek
PC
🇵🇱Pawel Chojnacki
ELO 1406
FormWLWWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H14-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)