7 Jul · 00:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1426
FormLLWLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1592
FormLWWWL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 54% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H40-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-10)