6 Jul · 20:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1504
FormWWWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Pyrek
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1394
FormLLLLL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Pyrek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)