7 Jul · 02:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1592
FormLWWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Nocun
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1504
FormWWWWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+88
H2H26-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-16)