7 Jul · 02:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1709
FormWWWWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Kuzmicz
MO
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1574
FormLWLLW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)