7 Jul · 01:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MO
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1574
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Olbrycht
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1556
FormLWLLW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Olbrycht
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.