6 Jul · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1335
FormLLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1650
FormWWLWW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~73 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+315
H2H27-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+315)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-10)