6 Jul · 18:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1410
FormWLWLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Warpas
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1512
FormWLWWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)