6 Jul · 19:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1563
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Cyndera
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1552
FormWLLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Cyndera
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 36% · 2.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.