6 Jul · 19:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1517
FormWWLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Warpas
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1331
FormLWLWW
69%
31%
Fair odds · Warpas
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+186
H2H16-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-10)