6 Jul · 19:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1453
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gesiarz
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1358
FormLWLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
16%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)