6 Jul · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1290
FormLLWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1552
FormWLLWL
24%
76%
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+262
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+262)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)