6 Jul · 18:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1383
FormWLWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1637
FormLWWLW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+254
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+254)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)