6 Jul · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1320
FormLWLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Fabis
AF
🇵🇱Adrian Fabis
ELO 1426
FormLLWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Fabis
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H33-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-16)